💰 Fiscal & capital — is the money behind AI still flowing?

Latest observations

Zero and missing are different things: business-day series have no weekend points. Machine-readable: /us/api/fiscal_us.json

Observation tables

Question this table answers: what are the values and dates in each row of "Posted funding opportunities matching the AI query (count; monthly = last snapshot of th…"? (source or retrieval date on each row)

Question this table answers: what are the values and dates in each row of "Treasury General Account opening balance (millions of USD, daily)"? (source or retrieval date on each row)

Question this table answers: what are the values and dates in each row of "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve (%, headline 10Y)"? (source or retrieval date on each row)

Candidates (not yet observed) — added to this chapter once verification completes

• AI-related federal budget (annual; irregular ledger) — Annual frequency does not meet the monthly-or-better rule; will be kept as a manual sourced ledger.

Method, scope, and why this chapter is not judged

• Not judged: no criterion says what a "good" yield or balance is for AI; the status stays "observing". Nothing here is financial advice.
• Not a macro dashboard: series are limited to those with a stated causal link to AI infrastructure (each series carries its causal note in the JSON). General economic indicators are out of scope by design.
• Causal notes: yields set the funding cost and discount rate of AI build-out; the TGA balance is the upstream water level of public AI funding; grant postings are the state actually opening its funding tap.
• Query definition: the grants count is defined entirely by a fixed Grants.gov full-text query ("artificial intelligence", status: posted) — stated in the JSON verbatim.
• Boundaries: rules belong to the regulation chapter; the prices AI pays (tokens, GPUs) belong to the GPU chapter; this chapter covers the price and quantity of capital.
• What this chapter can say: the daily par yield of U.S. Treasuries (headline 10-year), the opening balance of the Treasury General Account each business day, and how many funding opportunities matching "artificial intelligence" were posted on Grants.gov (monthly = last snapshot of the month); which days are confirmed and which is the provisional current day, and when each value was retrieved; the exact Grants.gov query that defines the count, so it can be reproduced.
• What this chapter cannot say: whether a yield or a cash balance is good or bad for AI, or where rates are heading (no criterion; nothing here is financial advice); how much the federal government budgets or spends on AI (annual budget figures do not meet the monthly-or-better rule; kept as a candidate ledger); general economic conditions (stocks, exchange rates and inflation are out of scope by design).
• Sources: U.S. Treasury (par yield curve), Daily Treasury Statement (Fiscal Data), Grants.gov search API — all U.S. federal government works (public domain), no keys. Compiled by AI Lifeline.